Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 17, 2025 at 7pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Montevideo Wanderers

River Plate
0 - 1
Wanderers


Vera (65'), Alfonso (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nahuel Camejo Berrondo (90' og.)
Suarez (40'), Zazpe (64')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 3-0 River Plate
Monday, May 5 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Wanderers
Friday, May 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawMontevideo Wanderers
34.27% (-1.092 -1.09)27.81% (-0.194 -0.19)37.93% (1.292 1.29)
Both teams to score 48.27% (0.493 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38% (0.658 0.66)57.62% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.61% (0.519 0.52)78.39% (-0.515 -0.52)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.34% (-0.378 -0.38)31.66% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (-0.437 -0.44)68.08% (0.441 0.44)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (1.109 1.11)29.37% (-1.105 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (1.336 1.34)65.36% (-1.333 -1.33)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 34.26%
    Montevideo Wanderers 37.92%
    Draw 27.81%
River PlateDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.3% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.206 0.21)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.25 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.18 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.92%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2024 12am
Gameweek 7
Wanderers
0-1
River Plate
Almeida (90+2')
Almeida (90+4')
Jun 23, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 3
Wanderers
1-3
River Plate
Freitas (27')
Morales (88')
Barone (20'), Lavega (41', 66')
Cristobal (45+5'), Campos (77'), Corbo (78'), Vera (81')
Cristobal (83')
Apr 6, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
3-1
Wanderers
Lavega (35'), Barone (38'), Moreno (74')
Cristobal (62')
Viudez (25')
Ferreira (58'), Cerro (62')
Nov 20, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Wanderers
2-1
River Plate
Milan (89'), Viudez (90+1')
Fonseca (26'), Cerro (68'), Garcia (71'), Acosta (90+3')
Cristobal (15')
Olivera (51'), Viera (67')
Jul 1, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wanderers
4-0
River Plate
Fonseca (57', 72'), Vidal (77' og.), Figueredo (82')
Costa (27'), Fonseca (33'), Figueredo (37')

Barros (90+1')
Brunelli (62')