Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Miramar Misiones would win this match.