Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
Jun 1, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
1 - 3
Mirandes

Millan (44')
Hernandez Mesas (35'), Pepin (45+3'), Luna (61')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Iruretagoiena Lertxundi (38'), Roca (45+3'), Calvo (70')
Eguiluz Arroyo (11')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Mirandes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Gijon 3-2 Cartagena
Sunday, May 25 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 0-0 Almeria
Sunday, May 25 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawMirandes
24.77% (5.424 5.42)28.13% (1.135 1.14)47.1% (-6.558 -6.56)
Both teams to score 42.94% (2.983 2.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.86% (0.678 0.68)62.13% (-0.678 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16% (0.497 0.5)81.83% (-0.496 -0.5)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (6.042 6.04)41.54% (-6.04 -6.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (4.891 4.89)78.03% (-4.89 -4.89)
Mirandes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (-2.776 -2.78)26.53% (2.777 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-3.834 -3.83)61.74% (3.834 3.83)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 24.77%
    Mirandes 47.09%
    Draw 28.13%
CartagenaDrawMirandes
1-0 @ 9.68% (1.287 1.29)
2-1 @ 5.64% (1.162 1.16)
2-0 @ 4.25% (1.135 1.14)
3-1 @ 1.65% (0.543 0.54)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.474 0.47)
3-2 @ 1.1% (0.299 0.3)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.78 0.78)
0-0 @ 11.02% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.523 0.52)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 14.62% (-1.62 -1.62)
0-2 @ 9.7% (-1.969 -1.97)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-1.304 -1.3)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.386 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.113 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.587 -0.59)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 47.09%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Mirandes
3-1
Cartagena
Iruretagoiena Lertxundi (11'), Panichelli (26', 61')
Aguirregabiria (64')
Alcala (90+5')
Feb 11, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Cartagena
1-0
Mirandes
Poveda (34')
Andy (40'), Alarcon (42'), Ortiz (56'), Calero (75'), Calero (75'), Gonzalo (81')

Reina (78'), Verdasca (81'), Mendes (88')
Oct 29, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 13
Mirandes
2-1
Cartagena
Martin (72' pen.), Barcia (90+1')
Fontan (80')
Alarcon (30'), Musto (90'), Martinez (90+11')
Apr 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Cartagena
1-0
Mirandes
Ortuno (67')
Nov 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Mirandes
2-1
Cartagena
Lopez (57' pen.), Barbudo (71')
Sadiku (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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