Segunda Division | Gameweek 41

May 25, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal El Molinon

Sporting Gijon
3 - 2
Cartagena

Gelabert (45+5'), Campos (59'), Martin (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Luna (25'), Nacho (85')
Moreno San Vidal (7'), Aguirregabiria (44'), Guerrero (53')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions

Last Game: Malaga 2-1 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, May 17 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Cartagena

All competitions

Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Tenerife
Saturday, May 17 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 66.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Cartagena
66.07% ( 0.25)	19.86% ( -0.12)	14.07% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 49.53% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64% (

0.25)

44.36% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.27% (

0.24)

66.73% (

-0.24)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.44% (

0.15)

12.56% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.38% (

0.3)

38.62% (

-0.3)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.64% (

-0.03)

43.36% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.41% (

-0.03)

79.59% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 66.06%

Cartagena 14.07%

Draw 19.86%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Cartagena
2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 66.06%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.86%	0-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 14.07%