Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 14.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.