Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 17, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
1 - 0
Tenerife

Millan (41')
Andy (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

David (54')
Landazuri (18')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Tenerife.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaragoza 3-2 Cartagena
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 0-0 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, May 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 43.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
CartagenaDrawTenerife
27.9% (0.299 0.3)28.53% (0.95 0.95)43.57% (-1.247 -1.25)
Both teams to score 44.09% (-2.347 -2.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.2% (-3.06 -3.06)61.79% (3.062 3.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.42% (-2.32 -2.32)81.58% (2.324 2.32)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (-1.443 -1.44)38.6% (1.445 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (-1.402 -1.4)75.34% (1.405 1.41)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (-2.086 -2.09)28.2% (2.088 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (-2.721 -2.72)63.9% (2.724 2.72)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 27.9%
    Tenerife 43.56%
    Draw 28.51%
CartagenaDrawTenerife
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.754 0.75)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.93% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.9%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 10.88% (1.179 1.18)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.335 -0.34)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 13.77% (0.75 0.75)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.358 -0.36)
0-3 @ 3.68% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.373 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 43.56%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
Tenerife
2-0
Cartagena
Fernandez Melian (36'), Gallego (90+3')
Mellot (13'), Leon (84')

Munoz (55')
May 12, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 39
Cartagena
2-0
Tenerife
Ortuno (6', 45+4' pen.)

Mellot (2'), Gallego (40'), Sanz (61')
Nov 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Tenerife
1-1
Cartagena
Rodriguez (90+3')
Rodriguez (48'), Nacho (74'), Sanz (88')
Jansson (41')
Alarcon (57'), Munoz (81'), Hevel (90+7'), Calero (90+6')
Jan 22, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Cartagena
0-1
Tenerife
Garces (4')
Oct 12, 2022 5.30pm
rhs 2.0


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