Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 43.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.