Fakel
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 30
May 24, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
1 - 1
Krylia Sovetov

Ilyin (86' pen.)
Senhadji (43'), Ilyin (51'), Kvekveskiri (82'), Brahimi (90+1'), Giorgobiani (90+3'), Bryzgalov (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oroz (29')
Ivanisenya (59'), Yevgenyev (89')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Krylia Sovetov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Fakel
Saturday, May 17 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 0-2 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, May 18 at 11.30am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
FakelDrawKrylia Sovetov
41.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.11%31.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.68% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48% (0.014000000000003 0.01)55.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (0.012 0.01)76.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.56%
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.016999999999999 0.02)69.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fakel 41.42%
    Krylia Sovetov 31.47%
    Draw 27.1%
FakelDrawKrylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.42%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 31.47%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Krylia Sovetov
2-0
Fakel
Costanza (75'), Orozco (78')
Rasskazov (35'), Costanza (76')

Bozhin (35'), Kvekveskiri (90+1')
Apr 25, 2024 4.15pm
Gameweek 21
Fakel
0-1
Krylia Sovetov

Appaev (6'), Akbashev (31')
Orozco (76')
Ezhov (18')
Sep 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Krylia Sovetov
3-0
Fakel
Costanza (28' pen.), Rahmanovic (66'), Shitov (70')
Lomaev (65')

Kalinin (45+3'), Cele (56')
May 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Fakel
2-1
Krylia Sovetov
Mendel (12'), Akbashev (57')
Akbashev (54'), Alshin (65')
Rasskazov (75')
Costanza (22'), Yevgenyev (37')
Aug 19, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 6
Krylia Sovetov
1-1
Fakel
Glushenkov (61')
Maksimov (65')
Mendel (58'), Bozhin (82'), Kvekveskiri (87')