Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.