Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.