Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 80.88%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 6.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.47%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Khimki
80.88% ( -0.85)	12.7% ( 0.55)	6.42% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 45.06% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.97% (

-1.6)

34.03% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.1% (

-1.84)

55.89% (

1.83)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.54% (

-0.49)

6.46% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.85% (

-1.35)

24.15% (

1.35)

Khimki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.17% (

-0.33)

51.82% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.11% (

-0.22)

85.89% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 80.87%

Khimki 6.42%

Draw 12.7%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Khimki
2-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 11.47% 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.35% Total : 80.87%	1-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 12.7%	0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.24% Total : 6.42%