Russian Premier League | Gameweek 24

Apr 13, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stade Pennaguer Bihan 1

Zenit
4 - 1
Krasnodar

Mostovoy (29'), Gondou (38'), Glushenkov (80'), Henrique (90')
Mantuan (73'), Mostovoy (74'), Henrique (76')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Krivtsov (16')
Chernikov (45+5'), Olaza (71'), Pina (88')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions

Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Zenit
Saturday, April 5 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

FC Krasnodar

All competitions

Last Game: Krasnodar 1-0 Akron
Saturday, April 5 at 5.45pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	FC Krasnodar
57.05% ( -0.85)	22.28% ( 0.28)	20.67% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.27% (

-0.45)

43.72% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.89% (

-0.44)

66.11% (

0.44)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.89% (

-0.43)

15.1% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.35% (

-0.82)

43.65% (

0.82)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.92% (

0.32)

35.07% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.18% (

0.34)

71.82% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 57.04%

FC Krasnodar 20.67%

Draw 22.28%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	FC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 57.04%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.28%	0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.67%