Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.