Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.