Russian Premier League | Gameweek 25

Apr 19, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Samara Arena

Akron
2 - 3
Spartak Moscow

Dzyuba (23' pen.), Pestryakov (29')
Savichev (34'), Kuzmin (45+3'), Pestryakov (55'), Dzyuba (78'), Dakovac (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bongonda (39'), Durasovic (61' og.), Barco (90+4' pen.)
Martins Pereira (59'), Solari (71'), Barco (90+5')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akron Tolyatti and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akron Tolyatti

All competitions

Last Game: Akron 1-0 Fakel
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Spartak Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Spartak Moscow 1-2 Makhachkala
Friday, April 11 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Spartak Moscow
18.42% ( -0.02)	23.61% ( -0.01)	57.97% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.31% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.72% (

52.27% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03% (

73.97% (

-0.01)

Akron Tolyatti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.55% (

-0.01)

42.44% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.18% (

-0.01)

78.82% (

0.01)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.2% (

0.01)

17.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.47% (

0.01)

48.52% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Akron Tolyatti 18.42%

Spartak Moscow 57.96%

Draw 23.6%

Akron Tolyatti	Draw	Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.42%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 57.96%