Russian Premier League | Gameweek 24
Apr 11, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
1 - 2
Makhachkala

Bongonda (68')
Denisov (45+4'), Solari (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Denisov (10' og.), Eddine Mrezigue (16')
Glushkov (2'), Kagermazov (3')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Dynamo Makhachkala.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rostov 0-3 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Makhachkala 4-1 Khimki
Sunday, April 6 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.89%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawDynamo Makhachkala
71.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)18.17% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)10.18% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)68.91% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.33% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)11.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Dynamo Makhachkala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.56% (0.028000000000006 0.03)51.44% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.37% (0.020999999999999 0.02)85.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 71.64%
    Dynamo Makhachkala 10.18%
    Draw 18.17%
Spartak MoscowDrawDynamo Makhachkala
2-0 @ 13.85%
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.54%
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 71.64%
1-1 @ 8.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 18.17%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 2.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.18%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 8
Makhachkala
1-1
Spartak Moscow
Litvinov (36' og.)
Sundukov (51'), Kagermazov (90+3')
Eddine Mrezigue (90')
Ugalde (20')
Bongonda (69'), Babic (75')