Russian Premier League | Gameweek 29
May 17, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadion Nizhny Novgorod
Fakel

Nizhny Novgorod
1 - 1
Fakel

Grulyov (67' pen.)
Boselli (39'), Medvedev (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alshin (18', 18')
Alshin (21'), Yurganov (57')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 5-2 Krylia Sovetov
Monday, May 12 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Fakel 0-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFakel
42.76% (-4.108 -4.11)27.5% (0.789 0.79)29.74% (3.318 3.32)
Both teams to score 47.81% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.44% (-1.266 -1.27)57.56% (1.266 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66% (-1.017 -1.02)78.34% (1.015 1.02)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-2.623 -2.62)26.63% (2.622 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-3.603 -3.6)61.87% (3.602 3.6)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (1.973 1.97)34.83% (-1.973 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (2.026 2.03)71.57% (-2.027 -2.03)
Score Analysis
    Nizhny Novgorod 42.76%
    Fakel 29.74%
    Draw 27.5%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawFakel
1-0 @ 12.27% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.874 -0.87)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.499 -0.5)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.696 -0.7)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.275 -0.28)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.341 -0.34)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.76%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 9.28% (0.439 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.95 0.95)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.528 0.53)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.744 0.74)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.301 0.3)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.343 0.34)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 29.74%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.15pm
Gameweek 8
Fakel
0-0
Nizhny Novgorod
Brahimi (31'), Kvekveskiri (43'), Kashtanov (62')
Kalinsky (35'), Boselli (45+4'), Kakkoev (45+3'), Stamatov (90+3'), Ermakov (90+8'), Stamatov (90+3')
Mar 3, 2024 11am
Gameweek 19
Nizhny Novgorod
1-1
Fakel
Gotsuk (64')
Maiga (22'), Correia (56'), Kakkoev (85')
Yakimov (23')
Cherov (35'), Kalinin (59'), Masternoy (77'), Yakimov (80'), Motpan (85'), Belenov (90+1')
Aug 20, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Fakel
2-0
Nizhny Novgorod
Markov (75'), Dolgov (90+1')

Aleksandrov (52'), Masoero (60')
Aleksandrov (56')
May 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Fakel
1-0
Nizhny Novgorod
Akbashev (67' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 8
Nizhny Novgorod
3-1
Fakel
Kalinsky (66' pen., 73' pen.), Milson (90+7')
Agapov (36'), Sharipov (44'), Yoldoshev (50'), Milson (89')
Maksimov (5')
Mendel (78'), Magal (82')