Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 80.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 5.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.86%) and 1-0 (12.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.