Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 80.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 5.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.86%) and 1-0 (12.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
80.85% ( 0.02)	13.54% ( -0.01)	5.61% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 36.5% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.73% (

0.03)

42.26% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33% (

0.03)

64.67% (

-0.03)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.75% (

0.01)

8.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.17% (

0.03)

28.83% (

-0.03)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.78% (

-0)

60.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.24%

90.76% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 80.84%

Nizhny Novgorod 5.61%

Draw 13.54%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
2-0 @ 15.46% 3-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 80.84%	1-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.3% Total : 13.54%	0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 5.61%