Premier League 2 - Div 1
Dec 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
Motspur Park

Fulham U21s
4 - 0
Derby U21s

Osmand (12', 19'), Sekularac (64'), Loupalo-Bi (90+2')
Nsasi (87'), Sekularac (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Allen (32')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Fulham Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham U21s 2-1 Leeds U21s
Friday, November 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Derby U21s 2-6 Chelsea U21s
Friday, November 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 63.13%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 19.2% and a draw had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Fulham Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
63.13% (-0.878 -0.88)17.67% (0.148 0.15)19.2% (0.725 0.73)
Both teams to score 70.02% (0.834 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.42% (0.47 0.47)23.58% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.96% (0.625 0.63)43.04% (-0.631 -0.63)
Fulham Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.6% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)7.39% (0.0419 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.35% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)26.65% (0.105 0.1)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (0.935 0.94)24.38% (-0.939 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (1.305 1.31)58.79% (-1.311 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Fulham Under-21s 63.13%
    Derby County Under-21s 19.2%
    Draw 17.67%
Fulham Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-2 @ 5.29% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.88% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.7% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 3.44% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.54% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.79% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.62% (0.064 0.06)
6-1 @ 1.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 4.96%
Total : 63.13%
1-1 @ 6.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.49% (0.104 0.1)
0-0 @ 1.8% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 17.67%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.126 0.13)
0-1 @ 2.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 19.2%

Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 7pm
Fulham U21s
2-1
Derby U21s
McFarlane (90+2'), Amissah (90+7')
Brown (66')
Brown (18')