Premier League 2 - Div 1
Nov 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
2 - 6
Chelsea U21s

Osong (4'), Washington (54')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Wilson (33'), Washington (41', 45'), Dyer (67'), McNeilly (79'), Morgan (87')
Murray-Campbell (81')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 4-1 WBA U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 65.15%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 18.49% and a draw had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.37%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
18.49% (-0.02 -0.02)16.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)65.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 74.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)18.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.55% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.38% (0.01100000000001 0.01)5.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 18.49%
    Chelsea Under-21s 65.15%
    Draw 16.36%
Derby County Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 18.49%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.93%
0-0 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 7.37%
2-3 @ 5.69%
1-4 @ 5.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 3.44% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-5 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
2-5 @ 2.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-4 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
1-6 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-5 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
2-6 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
0-6 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 65.15%