MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 13:54:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Nov 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
2 - 6
Chelsea U21s

Osong (4'), Washington (54')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Wilson (33'), Washington (41', 45'), Dyer (67'), McNeilly (79'), Morgan (87')
Murray-Campbell (81')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby U21s 4-1 WBA U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 65.15%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 18.49% and a draw had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.37%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
18.49% (-0.02 -0.02) 16.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 65.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 74.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)18.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.55% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.38% (0.01100000000001 0.01)5.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 18.49%
    Chelsea Under-21s 65.15%
    Draw 16.36%
Derby County Under-21sDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 18.49%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.93%
0-0 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 7.37%
2-3 @ 5.69%
1-4 @ 5.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 3.44% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-5 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
2-5 @ 2.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-4 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
1-6 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-5 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
2-6 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
0-6 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 65.15%

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