Premier League 2 - Div 1
Nov 29, 2024 7.00pm
2
6
HT : 1 3
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Johnson Osong 4' goal
  • Conor Washington 54' goal
  • goal Kaiden Wilson 33'
  • goal Deivid Washington 41'
  • goal Deivid Washington 45'
  • goal Kiano Dyer 67'
  • goal Donnell McNeilly 79'
  • yellowcard Harrison Murray-Campbell 81'
  • goal Jimmy Morgan 87'

Derby County Under-21s vs Chelsea Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Nov 1, 2024 7.00pm
Derby U21s 4 - 1 WBA U21s
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Lennon Wheeldon

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Nov 1, 2024 7.00pm
Chelsea U21s 2 - 1 Arsenal U21s
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Donnell McNeilly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 65.15%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 18.49% and a draw had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.37%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Derby County Under-21s 18.49% (-0.02)
Draw 16.36% (-0.02)
Chelsea Under-21s 65.15% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

74.21% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 81.75% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 18.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 64.45% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 35.55% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 45.31% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 54.68% (-0.04)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 78.63% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.37% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.66% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.34% (+0.01)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 94.38% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 5.62% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 78.21% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 21.79% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 18.49%
Draw 16.36%
Chelsea Under-21s 65.15%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 18.49%
Draw
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.01)
1-1 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.93%
0-0 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16.36%
Chelsea Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 7.37%
2-3 @ 5.69%
1-4 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.78% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.46% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 3.06% (+0.01)
2-5 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
3-4 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
1-6 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
3-5 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
2-6 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.07%
Total : 65.15%