Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
0 - 1
Lech Poznan


Vinagre (45+8'), Elitim (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gholizadeh (77')
Gurgul (32'), Hotic (45+10')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Katowice 1-3 Legia
Saturday, April 26 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 8-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, May 3 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawLech Poznan
37.67% (0.076000000000001 0.08)24.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)37.83% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.63% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.114 0.11)43.25% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.112 0.11)65.65% (-0.116 -0.12)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.090000000000003 0.09)22.82% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (0.13500000000001 0.14)56.53% (-0.139 -0.14)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (0.035000000000004 0.04)56.42% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 37.67%
    Lech Poznan 37.83%
    Draw 24.49%
Legia WarsawDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.79% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.67%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.83%

Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Lech Poznan
5-2
Legia
Gholizadeh (4'), Kozubal (38'), Sousa (50', 69'), Ishak (58')
Gurgul (45+3'), Walemark (65'), Murawski (73')
Gual (28'), Augustyniak (45+2' pen.)
Luquinhas (50'), Urbanski (77'), Celhaka (90+1'), Celhaka (90+1')
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 32
Lech Poznan
1-2
Legia
Pereira (83')
Douglas (13'), Andersson (66'), Salamon (88')
Blazic (15' og.), Salamon (45' og.)
Ribeiro (55'), Jedrzejczyk (64')
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Legia
0-0
Lech Poznan
Pekhart (14'), Kapuadi (87'), Kramer (90+1')
Murawski (64'), Ishak (73')