Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.