UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Narodowy

Poland
1 - 2
Scotland

Piatkowski (59')
Zielinski (79'), Buksa (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McGinn (3'), Robertson (90+3')
McLean (31'), Christie (70'), McGinn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Poland and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Portugal 5-1 Poland
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	8	13
2	Croatia	5	0	7
3	Scotland	5	-2	4
4	Poland	5	-6	4

Scotland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Scotland 1-0 Croatia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	8	13
2	Croatia	5	0	7
3	Scotland	5	-2	4
4	Poland	5	-6	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Poland	Draw	Scotland
52.99% ( 1.4)	22.53% ( -0.34)	24.48% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 59.44% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.61% (

0.59)

40.38% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.24% (

0.61)

62.76% (

-0.61)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7% (

0.69)

15.29% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.99% (

1.29)

44.01% (

-1.29)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18% (

-0.51)

29.82% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.1% (

-0.62)

65.9% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Poland 52.99%

Scotland 24.48%

Draw 22.52%

Poland	Draw	Scotland
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.99%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.11% Total : 24.48%