National League | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
5 - 1
Hartlepool

Rodney (6' pen., 52'), Henderson (20'), Ayinde (25'), Bird (85')
Ebanks-Landell (45+2')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Featherstone (11')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 0-0 Fylde
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-2 Gateshead
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Hartlepool United
55.22% ( 1.36)	22.4% ( -0.23)	22.38% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.88% (

-0.22)

42.12% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.48% (

-0.22)

64.52% (

0.22)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85% (

0.38)

15.15% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.25% (

0.71)

43.75% (

-0.7)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

-1.1)

32.56% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

-1.26)

69.1% (

1.26)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 55.22%

Hartlepool United 22.38%

Draw 22.39%

Rochdale	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.81% Total : 55.22%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.45% Total : 22.38%