Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rochdale in this match.