National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
1 - 2
Rochdale

Marriott (58')
Wilson (27'), Kosylo (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Beckwith (20'), Rodney (89')
Beckwith (45+2'), Kingdon (90+4')

Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Boston 1-0 Altrincham
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 4-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Rochdale
34.25% ( 1.58)	24.85% ( -0.55)	40.89% ( -1.03)

Both teams to score 57.89% (

2.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.68% (

2.87)

45.32% (

-2.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.34% (

2.68)

67.66% (

-2.68)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

2.35)

25.66% (

-2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44% (

3.09)

60.56% (

-3.08)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

0.75)

22.13% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.5% (

1.11)

55.5% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 34.26%

Rochdale 40.89%

Draw 24.85%

Altrincham	Draw	Rochdale
2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.26%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.73) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.88) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.89%