Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Spotland Stadium
Eastleigh

Rochdale
4 - 0
Eastleigh

Rodney (14', 14', 76', 76'), Fernandez (18' og., 18' og.), Henderson (64', 64')
Rodney (90+1')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Panter (29'), Rodney (29'), Boutin (63')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in National League

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-1 Halifax
Saturday, April 5 at 5.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawEastleigh
59.9% (0.289 0.29)21.64% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)18.46% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 53.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.88% (0.126 0.13)44.12% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.5% (0.122 0.12)66.5% (-0.122 -0.12)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (0.13200000000001 0.13)14.32% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.84% (0.256 0.26)42.16% (-0.255 -0.25)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37% (-0.139 -0.14)37.63% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6% (-0.135 -0.14)74.41% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 59.89%
    Eastleigh 18.46%
    Draw 21.64%
RochdaleDrawEastleigh
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 59.89%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.46%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Eastleigh
4-2
Rochdale
McCallum (22', 77' pen.), Francillette (35'), Maguire (60')
Shade (39'), McDonnell (90+6')
Mitchell (6'), Rodney (71')
Beckwith (34'), Robson (42'), Burger (62'), Mitchell (75'), Gilmour (90+6')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Eastleigh
1-4
Rochdale
McCallum (31')
Nwabuokei (56')
Mitchell (28', 79'), Keohane (44'), Rodney (71')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Rochdale
2-0
Eastleigh
Henderson (10'), Mitchell (45+3')
Ebanks-Landell (29'), John (59')

Nwabuokei (19'), Clampin (35'), Carter (45'), Taylor (52'), Boldewijn (80')