National League | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
4 - 0
Eastleigh

Rodney (14', 14', 76', 76'), Fernandez (18' og., 18' og.), Henderson (64', 64')
Rodney (90+1')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Panter (29'), Rodney (29'), Boutin (63')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-1 Halifax
Saturday, April 5 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Eastleigh
59.9% ( 0.29)	21.64% ( -0.1)	18.46% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 53.44% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.88% (

0.13)

44.12% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.5% (

0.12)

66.5% (

-0.12)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68% (

0.13)

14.32% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.84% (

0.26)

42.16% (

-0.25)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.37% (

-0.14)

37.63% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.6% (

-0.14)

74.41% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 59.89%

Eastleigh 18.46%

Draw 21.64%

Rochdale	Draw	Eastleigh
1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 59.89%	1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.64%	0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 18.46%