National League Gameweek 42
Rochdale
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Spotland Stadium
Eastleigh
  • Devante Rodney 14' goal
  • Devante Rodney 14' goal
  • Luis Fernandez 18' goal
  • Luis Fernandez 18' goal
  • Ian Henderson 64' goal
  • Ian Henderson 64' goal
  • Devante Rodney 76' goal
  • Devante Rodney 76' goal
  • Devante Rodney 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Corey Panter 29'
  • yellowcard Devante Rodney 29'
  • yellowcard Noa Boutin 63'

Rochdale vs Eastleigh - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
Sutton 1 - 0 Rochdale
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Devante Rodney

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 5.30pm
Eastleigh 1 - 1 Halifax
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Tyrese Shade

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result

Rochdale 59.9% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 21.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Eastleigh 18.46% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.88% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 44.12% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 33.5% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 66.5% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 17.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 82.84% ▼ (-0.10)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 85.68% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 14.32% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 57.84% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 42.16% ▼ (-0.26)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5 62.37% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 37.63% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 25.6% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 74.41% ▲ (+0.14)

Score analysis

Rochdale 59.89%
Draw 21.64%
Eastleigh 18.46%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 10.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 59.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.64%
Eastleigh
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 18.46%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 10
Eastleigh
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Silverlake Stadium
Rochdale
  • Paul McCallum 22' goal
  • Ludwig Francillette 35' goal
  • Tyrese Shade 39' yellowcard
  • Chris Maguire 60' goal
  • Paul McCallum 77' goal
  • Joe McDonnell 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 6'
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 34'
  • yellowcard David Robson 42'
  • yellowcard Jake Burger 62'
  • goal Devante Rodney 71'
  • yellowcard Kairo Mitchell 75'
  • yellowcard Harvey Gilmour 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 40
Eastleigh
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Silverlake Stadium
Rochdale
  • Paul McCallum 31' goal
  • Solomon Nwabuokei 56' yellowcard
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 28'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 44'
  • goal Devante Rodney 71'
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 79'
National League Gameweek 4
Rochdale
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
Eastleigh
  • Ian Henderson 10' goal
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 29' yellowcard
  • Kairo Mitchell 45'+3' goal
  • Cameron John 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Solomon Nwabuokei 19'
  • yellowcard Ryan Clampin 35'
  • yellowcard Charlie Carter 45'
  • yellowcard Jake Taylor 52'
  • yellowcard Enzio Boldewijn 80'

Form Data

Sutton 1 - 0 Rochdale
Woking 1 - 1 Rochdale
Rochdale 4 - 0 Aldershot
Rochdale 0 - 4 York City
Maidenhead 1 - 1 Rochdale
Rochdale 2 - 3 Boston
Eastleigh 1 - 1 Halifax
Tamworth 2 - 0 Eastleigh
Eastleigh 1 - 2 Southend
Wealdstone 3 - 3 Eastleigh
Oldham 2 - 0 Eastleigh
Eastleigh 1 - 1 Hartlepool