National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
2 - 0
Eastleigh

Hollis (53'), Ryan McGlinchey (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shade (33'), Fernandez (45'), Close (70'), Close (70')
Quigley (41')

Coverage of the National League clash between Tamworth and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Tamworth
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-2 Southend
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
Tamworth	Draw	Eastleigh
47.93% ( 0.01)	25.13%	26.94% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.23% (

-0.01)

49.77% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.23% (

-0.01)

71.77% (

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

-0)

20.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56% (

53.44% (

-0)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13% (

-0.01)

32.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56% (

-0.01)

69.44% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Tamworth 47.93%

Eastleigh 26.94%

Draw 25.12%

Tamworth	Draw	Eastleigh
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.93%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.94%