Aldershot Town
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Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
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Hartlepool United
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Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Eastleigh

Tamworth
2 - 0
Eastleigh

Hollis (53'), Ryan McGlinchey (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shade (33'), Fernandez (45'), Close (70'), Close (70')
Quigley (41')
Coverage of the National League clash between Tamworth and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Tamworth
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-2 Southend
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawEastleigh
47.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.13%26.94% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)49.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.77% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)32.87% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)69.44% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 47.93%
    Eastleigh 26.94%
    Draw 25.12%
TamworthDrawEastleigh
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.43% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.93%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 26.94%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Eastleigh
1-0
Tamworth
McCallum (6')
Maher (28'), Milnes (45+1'), Brindley (90+4'), Panter (90+4')

Morrison (26'), Acquaye (41'), Cullinane-Liburd (74'), Lissimore (74'), Francillette (90')