National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
3 - 2
Gateshead

Charman (25'), Cleary (43'), Dieseruvwe (72')
Charman (66'), Hunter (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Malcolm (48'), Bramwell (90')
Bramwell (81'), Nouble (90+1')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 2-1 Hartlepool
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 1-3 York City
Friday, April 18 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Gateshead
47.51% ( -0.17)	24.41% ( 0.07)	28.07% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 56.36% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01% (

-0.26)

45.98% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71% (

-0.25)

68.29% (

0.25)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

-0.17)

19.45% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.71% (

-0.28)

51.29% (

0.28)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

-0.07)

30.03% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

-0.08)

66.15% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 47.51%

Gateshead 28.07%

Draw 24.41%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Gateshead
1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 47.51%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.07%