National League South | Gameweek 45

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Woodspring Stadium

Weston
0 - 2
Truro City

FT(HT: 0-0)

Harvey (55', 90+7' pen.)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions

Last Game: Chippenham 2-0 Weston
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Truro City

All competitions

Last Game: Truro City 0-1 Torquay Utd
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Weston-super-Mare	Draw	Truro City
35.81% ( 0.17)	27.94% ( 0.09)	36.25% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 47.99% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.99% (

-0.33)

58.01% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.3% (

-0.26)

78.7% (

0.26)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.14% (

-0.06)

30.86% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.85% (

-0.07)

67.15% (

0.07)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.41% (

-0.32)

30.59% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.18% (

-0.39)

66.82% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Weston-super-Mare 35.8%

Truro City 36.25%

Draw 27.93%

Weston-super-Mare	Draw	Truro City
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.8%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.25%