Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Q2 Stadium

Austin
0 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Hines-Ike (69'), Hines-Ike (69')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Sanchez (22' og., 22' og.), Markanich (35', 35'), Pereyra (90+1', 90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Austin FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-3 Vancouver
Sunday, April 27 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Minnesota United
44.84% ( 0.57)	24.95% ( 0.03)	30.21% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 55.94% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83% (

-0.41)

47.16% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.6% (

-0.38)

69.4% (

0.38)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

0.08)

21.07% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.11% (

0.13)

53.89% (

-0.14)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0.61)

29.12% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-0.76)

65.05% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 44.84%

Minnesota United 30.21%

Draw 24.95%

Austin FC	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.84%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 7.57% 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.21%