Major League Soccer

Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
2 - 0
Austin

Lingr (61', 61'), Ponce (79', 79')
Ponce (27'), Ponce (27'), Escobar (82'), Escobar (82'), Dorsey (88'), Dorsey (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Biro (24'), Biro (24'), Dubersarsky (72'), Dubersarsky (72'), Svatok (76'), Svatok (76'), Cascante (84'), Cascante (84'), Rubio (88'), Rubio (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-0 LA Galaxy
Saturday, April 19 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
56.21% ( 0.17)	23.34% ( 0.02)	20.45% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.45% (

-0.33)

48.55% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.33% (

-0.3)

70.67% (

0.3)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.92% (

-0.06)

17.08% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.73% (

-0.1)

47.27% (

0.1)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.95% (

-0.39)

38.05% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.18% (

-0.37)

74.82% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 56.19%

Austin FC 20.45%

Draw 23.33%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 56.19%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.05) Other @ 1% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.45%