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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Austin FC

Houston
2 - 0
Austin

Lingr (61'), Ponce (79')
Ponce (27'), Escobar (82'), Dorsey (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Biro (24'), Dubersarsky (72'), Svatok (76'), Cascante (84'), Rubio (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-0 LA Galaxy
Saturday, April 19 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Austin FC

After their initial struggles in April, Austin FC have returned to winning ways, and up against second-bottom Houston, they are in line for a win, and we predict a 2-1 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
56.21% (0.169 0.17) 23.34% (0.023 0.02) 20.45% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.355 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (-0.328 -0.33)48.55% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33% (-0.3 -0.3)70.67% (0.3 0.3)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)17.08% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (-0.101 -0.1)47.27% (0.101 0.1)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)38.05% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (-0.374 -0.37)74.82% (0.375 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 56.19%
    Austin FC 20.45%
    Draw 23.33%
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.45%

How you voted: Houston vs Austin

Houston Dynamo
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Austin FC
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 1.30am
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-0
Houston
Driussi (87')
Cascante (31'), Gallagher (90'), Fodrey (90+5')

Dorsey (60')
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Austin

Kowalczyk (28'), Carrasquilla (37'), Artur (45+3'), Ferreira (77')
Rigoni (86')
Driussi (87'), Zardes (90+3')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Austin
3-0
Houston
Finlay (22'), Zardes (32'), Cascante (50')
Gallagher (39'), Wolff (45'), Pereira (68'), Lima (75'), Cascante (77')

Sviatchenko (31'), Artur (45+5'), Herrera (77')
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Austin
Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati138231815326
4Orlando City135622415921
5Nashville SCNashville136342215721
6Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
7New York City FCNY City136251514120
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire135442424019
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United133461325-1213
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta132471323-1010
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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