Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 0
Sunderland

Andrews (64')
Kayembe (10'), Lewis (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Nien (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 1-1 Sunderland

Wins have been in short supply for both teams of late and we certainly do not expect many goals in this contest. Both teams may feel content not to suffer defeat, leading us to predict a dull stalemate at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Sunderland
39.87% ( -0.03)	26.22% ( -0.01)	33.91% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62% (

0.05)

51.38% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8% (

0.04)

73.19% (

-0.04)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

0.01)

25.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

0.01)

60.11% (

-0.01)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

0.04)

28.78% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.37% (

0.05)

64.63% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Watford 39.87%

Sunderland 33.91%

Draw 26.21%

Watford	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.87%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.91%