Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 1
Stoke

Watson (7', 86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Koumas (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Sunderland
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Stoke City
47.78% ( -0.01)	25.77% ( -0.01)	26.45% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.81% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.32% (

0.07)

52.68% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.68% (

0.06)

74.32% (

-0.06)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94% (

0.02)

22.05% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61% (

0.04)

55.39% (

-0.04)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.18% (

0.05)

34.81% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.45% (

0.06)

71.54% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 47.77%

Stoke City 26.45%

Draw 25.76%

Sunderland	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.77%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.45%