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FA Cup
Shrewsbury Town
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Wrexham AFC

Shrewsbury
0 - 1
Wrexham


Bowman (57'), Anderson (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Connor (72')
McClean (57'), Tozer (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-1 Fleetwood
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Wrexham

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Barrow
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Wrexham

 Shrewsbury play a league higher than Wrexham and will also have home advantage on Sunday, but we fancy the Welsh outfit to triumph here. Wrexham have so much quality in the forward positions, and Parkinson's team will fancy their chances of advancing to the fourth round of the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawWrexham
28.63%23.91%47.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 58.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.62%43.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.23%65.77% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71%28.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99%64.01% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.62%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 28.64%
    Wrexham 47.45%
    Draw 23.91%
Shrewsbury TownDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 7.03%
1-0 @ 6.59%
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-1 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.31%
0-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 2.24%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 47.45%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Wrexham

Shrewsbury Town
32.5%
Draw
10.0%
Wrexham
57.5%
80
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2008 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-0
Wrexham
Moss (58'), McIntyre (7'), Constable (68')
Davies (34'), Hibbert (75')

Spender (17'), Roberts (27'), Broughton (39')
Nov 4, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
0-1
Shrewsbury

Done (87'), Garrett (90')
Symes (59')
Moss (21'), Symes (79')
Apr 24, 2007 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-1
Wrexham
Proctor (79')
Proctor (64'), Valentine (66')
Feb 25, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Shrewsbury
Williams (55')
Roberts (13'), Williams (34'), Llewellyn (64'), McEvilly (89')
Evans (40')
Fortune-West (8', 51'), Asamoah (38')
Tierney (14'), Edwards (59')
Apr 9, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
Shrewsbury
Derbyshire (78')
Williams (44'), Ferguson (59'), Pejic (90')
Bennett (15')
Lawrence (3' og.), McMenamin (15' pen.)
Hogg (24'), Hurst (59'), Ashton (76')
McMenamin (79')
rhs 2.0
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