Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 81.72%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 7.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
81.72% ( -0) | 11.19% ( 0.01) | 7.09% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.26% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.85% ( -0.06) | 22.15% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.89% ( -0.08) | 41.1% ( 0.08) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.96% ( -0.01) | 4.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.99% ( -0.04) | 17.01% ( 0.04) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.67% ( -0.07) | 40.33% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.04% ( -0.06) | 76.95% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
3-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.15% 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.62% 5-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.47% ( -0) 6-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) 7-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) 6-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 4.35% Total : 81.72% | 1-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 11.19% | 1-2 @ 2.16% 0-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 7.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |