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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Sunderland |
32.94% ( 0.14) | 24.77% ( -0.11) | 42.28% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.72% ( 0.55) | 45.28% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.38% ( 0.52) | 67.62% ( -0.52) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( 0.35) | 26.42% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( 0.46) | 61.59% ( -0.46) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.55% ( 0.22) | 21.45% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.54% ( 0.34) | 54.46% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.95% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 57 | 33 | 93 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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