Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
5 - 0
Clermont

Abergel (38'), Bamba (42' pen.), Bouanani (54'), Dieng (63', 90+1')
Laporte (20'), Dieng (69'), Ponceau (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Magnin (12'), Gastien (43'), Allevinah (72'), Diaw (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Lorient suffer an automatic relegation from Ligue 1 in the most heartbreaking circumstances as Metz survive by the skin of their teeth on the final day.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Lyon
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Clermont
42.93% ( 0.35)	25.14% ( -0.14)	31.93% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 56.14% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72% (

0.56)

47.27% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

0.52)

69.5% (

-0.52)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

0.41)

21.99% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7% (

0.61)

55.3% (

-0.62)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

0.14)

28.03% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31% (

0.18)

63.68% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Lorient 42.93%

Clermont 31.93%

Draw 25.14%

Lorient	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.93%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.93%