MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 03:31:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 9, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
0 - 1
Tigre


Cerato (39'), Rodriguez (48'), Alarcon (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Retegui (24')
Garay (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Instituto
Thursday, July 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 1-2 Banfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Instituto 1-0 Tigre

 We have seen a lot more urgency from Instituto since Dabove took charge, and we believe that, along with their improved defensive shape, will propel them to a narrow victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawTigre
38.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 29.45% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 31.67% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.19% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)63.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.06% (0.026 0.03)82.94% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (0.023 0.02)68.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (0.031999999999996 0.03)36.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (0.030999999999999 0.03)73.46% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 38.87%
    Tigre 31.67%
    Draw 29.44%
InstitutoDrawTigre
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 38.87%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.44%
0-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 31.67%

How you voted: Instituto vs Tigre

Instituto
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Tigre
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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