Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.73%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Everton Under-21s
24.99% ( -0.37)	20.11% ( -0.04)	54.89% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 69.07% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.9% (

-0.21)

28.1% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.13% (

-0.26)

48.86% (

0.26)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25% (

-0.36)

22.75% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57% (

-0.53)

56.43% (

0.53)

Everton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.41% (

0.03)

10.58% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.64% (

0.08)

34.35% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-21s 24.99%

Everton Under-21s 54.89%

Draw 20.11%

Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Everton Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.99%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.11%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.89%