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Cheltenham Town
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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Lincoln City

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Lincoln

Sercombe (15' pen.)
Bonds (53'), Davies (75'), Harrop (86'), Long (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (40'), Draper (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-2 Lincoln City

With so much on the line for both teams this weekend it is likely to be quite a closely contested and cagey game, with neither team wanting to give too much of an advantage away. However, the strong run of form that Lincoln has displayed in the second half of the season should see them through here, with their quality likely being too much for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
25.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 47.95% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (0.012 0.01)23.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 25.75%
    Lincoln City 47.95%
    Draw 26.3%
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 47.95%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Lincoln

Cheltenham Town
11.1%
Draw
7.4%
Lincoln City
81.5%
27
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Lincoln
2-0
Cheltenham
Sorensen (5', 21')
Jackson (11'), Kennedy (12'), Bishop (44'), Hamilton (81'), Erhahon (88')

Harris (77'), Bevan (81')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Lincoln
2-0
Cheltenham
House (42', 79')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Lincoln
3-0
Cheltenham
Whittaker (4', 19'), Scully (17')

Ramsey (8'), Freestone (57'), May (81')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Cheltenham
2-2
Lincoln
May (17'), Blair (90+5')
Long (59'), Raglan (69'), May (71'), Williams (90+3'), Pollock (90+6')
Bishop (69', 90+1')
Bridcutt (65'), McGrandles (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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