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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo

Bristol Rovers
2 - 3
Bolton

Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Connolly (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
Sheehan (11'), Thomason (53'), N'Lundulu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While Bolton endured a blip versus Accrington, they have ended the season strongly, which is in sharp contrast to their hosts. With that in mind, we expect the visitors to battle their way to victory in the South West. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
25.69% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 24.68% (0.122 0.12) 49.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.48% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.541 -0.54)48.85% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.494 -0.49)70.95% (0.491 0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (-0.31500000000001 -0.32)33.39% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (-0.349 -0.35)70.01% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)19.71% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.409 -0.41)51.72% (0.406 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 25.69%
    Bolton Wanderers 49.61%
    Draw 24.68%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.098 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Bolton Wanderers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Thomason (24')
Coburn (2')
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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