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AFC Wimbledon
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Stevenage

Lewis (71')
Pell (14'), Davison (33'), Lock (90'), Lock (90')
FT
(aet)
Reid (55' pen.)
MacDonald (40'), Neal (46'), Forster-Caskey (75'), Thompson (88')
AFC Wimbledon win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

We say: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Stevenage

 While both sides have made promising starts to the season, the visitors have an excellent record against this opponent and will be aiming to go deep in this competition. We expect this to be a back-and-forth encounter with lots of chances created, but we fancy Boro to secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%).

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
31.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.59% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78% (0.015999999999998 0.02)78.22% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.17% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.51% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)63.02% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 31.39%
    Stevenage 41%
    Draw 27.6%
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.39%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage

AFC Wimbledon
28.6%
Draw
20.0%
Stevenage
51.4%
35
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stevenage
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Roberts (4'), Reid (61')
Al-Hamadi (11')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AFC Wimbledon
2-3
Stevenage
Al-Hamadi (39', 74')
Piergianni (55'), McAteer (61' og.), Norris (83')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2018
11pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon  
vs.
  Stevenage
Nov 6, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Stevenage
Appiah (1'), Wordsworth (28'), Garratt (68'), Egan (78')

Ball (23')
Apr 30, 2016 3pm
Stevenage
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Tonge (10')
Robinson (48')
rhs 2.0
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