Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 33
May 18, 2024 at 4.45pm UK
Paksi FC Stadion

Paksi SE
2 - 1
Varda SE

Mezei (34'), Hahn (85')
Szabo (49'), Mezei (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Spasic (90+1')
Melnyk (38'), Cipetic (72'), Matic (77'), Ilievski (82')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Paksi SE and Kisvarda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paksi SE

All competitions
Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 Paksi SE
Saturday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Varda SE

All competitions
Last Game: Varda SE 4-3 Mezokovesdi
Sunday, May 12 at 1.15pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paksi SE in this match.

Result
Paksi SEDrawVarda SE
54.7% (0.136 0.14)22.45% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.85% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.7% (-0.4 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.22% (-0.421 -0.42)41.78% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.82% (-0.426 -0.43)64.18% (0.422 0.42)
Paksi SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)15.21% (0.097 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.15% (-0.192 -0.19)43.85% (0.189 0.19)
Varda SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.39200000000001 -0.39)31.95% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.449 -0.45)68.41% (0.44600000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Paksi SE 54.7%
    Varda SE 22.85%
    Draw 22.44%
Paksi SEDrawVarda SE
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 54.7%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 5.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.85%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Varda SE
0-1
Paksi SE

Lippai (19'), Lucas (76'), Melnyk (87'), Jovicic (87'), Camaj (89')
Mezei (33' pen.)
Konyves (23'), Szappanos (57'), Kinyik (76')
Oct 29, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Paksi SE
3-1
Varda SE
Szabo (16'), Windecker (45+3'), Mezei (80')
Lenzser (90+5')
Balogh (74')
Vida (2'), Melnyk (26')