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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%).
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 45.3% | 23.28% | 31.41% |
| Both teams to score 62.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.12% | 38.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.8% | 61.19% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% | 17.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.93% | 48.06% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% | 24.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% | 58.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.96% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.41% |