Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Talleres

Sabino (26', 26'), Luciano (84', 84')
Sabino (6'), Sabino (6'), Luciano (90+9'), Luciano (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Girotti (39', 39')
Navarro (25'), Navarro (25'), Girotti (49'), Girotti (49'), Carlos Portillo (90+9'), Carlos Portillo (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Talleres, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Mirassol
Saturday, May 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Talleres

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Talleres 2-0 Alianza Lima
Thursday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawTalleres
45.77% (-4.638 -4.64)26.6% (0.742 0.74)27.62% (3.894 3.89)
Both teams to score 49.19% (1.167 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (-0.133 -0.13)55.2% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.107 -0.11)76.44% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-2.17 -2.17)24.06% (2.167 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-3.192 -3.19)58.34% (3.191 3.19)
Talleres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (3.291 3.29)35.22% (-3.294 -3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (3.288 3.29)71.98% (-3.289 -3.29)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 45.77%
    Talleres 27.62%
    Draw 26.6%
Sao PauloDrawTalleres
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.73 -0.73)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-1.129 -1.13)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.439 -0.44)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.843 -0.84)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.268 -0.27)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.417 -0.42)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.77%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.254 0.25)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.799 0.8)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.743 0.74)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.776 0.78)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.432 0.43)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.221 0.22)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.384 0.38)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 27.62%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Talleres

Sao Paulo
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Talleres
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Talleres
0-1
Sao Paulo

Depietri (27'), Fernandez (82'), Portilla (89')
Alisson (76')
Arboleda (70'), Alisson (79'), Soares (89')
May 30, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Sao Paulo
2-0
Talleres
Moura (45+4' pen.), Luciano (90')
Welington (4'), Calleri (64'), Vinicius (90+2')

Barticciotto (13'), Suarez (45+7'), Portilla (56'), Carlos Portillo (90+2')
Navarro (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Talleres
2-1
Sao Paulo
Ruiz (45+6'), Botta (53')
Benavidez (33'), Portilla (67'), Portillo (72'), Bustos (90')
Luciano (66')
Rafinha (2'), Luciano (72')
Feb 13, 2019 11.30pm
Second Stage
Sao Paulo
0-0
Talleres
Peres (16'), Everton (37'), Hernanes (76')
Everton (80')
Herrera (67'), Diaz (74')
Feb 6, 2019 11.30pm
Second Stage
Talleres
2-0
Sao Paulo
Ramirez (58'), Pochettino (87')
Cubas (77'), Diaz (79')

Pablo (17'), Hernanes (45'), Hudson (62')
Hudson (81')