Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Club Libertad

Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Libertad

Marques Alencar (90', 90')
Marques Alencar (90+2'), Marques Alencar (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aguilar (74', 74')
Caballero (39'), Caballero (39'), Sanabria (45+2'), Sanabria (45+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sao Paulo and Club Libertad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Libertad
Thursday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawClub Libertad
65.07% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.51%13.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.84% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (-0.073 -0.07)52.46% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)74.13% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)44.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.66% (-0.107 -0.11)49.34% (0.10400000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.8% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)84.19% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 65.06%
    Club Libertad 13.42%
    Draw 21.51%
Sao PauloDrawClub Libertad
1-0 @ 14.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 65.06%
1-1 @ 10.05%
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.51%
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 13.42%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Libertad
0-2
Sao Paulo

Melgarejo (37'), Caballero (90+1')
Dos Santos Ferreira (62'), Silva (83')
Antonio (49'), Silva (69')