Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 15, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Talleres
2 - 0
Alianza Lima

Botta (23'), Depietri (38')
Rick (34'), Girotti (45+4'), Burrai (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gaibor (27'), Castillo (27'), Zambrano (45+4'), Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola (70'), Aguirre (83')
Zambrano (75')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Talleres and Alianza Lima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Talleres

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Libertad
Thursday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Alianza Lima

All competitions

Last Game: Alianza Lima 0-2 Sao Paulo
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.

Result
Talleres	Draw	Alianza Lima
54.78% ( 0.48)	25.07% ( 0)	20.15% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 45.88% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.39% (

-0.55)

55.61% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.23% (

-0.45)

76.77% (

0.45)

Talleres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

-0.02)

20.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35% (

-0.04)

52.65% (

0.04)

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.56% (

-0.85)

42.43% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.19% (

-0.74)

78.81% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Talleres 54.78%

Alianza Lima 20.15%

Draw 25.07%

Talleres	Draw	Alianza Lima
1-0 @ 13.73% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.78%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.15%