Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Corinthians

Novorizontino
0 - 1
Corinthians


Jean (45'), Jean (45')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hernandez (10', 10')
Caca (45+2'), Caca (45+2'), Souza (83'), Souza (83'), Raniele (90+3'), Raniele (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Novorizontino and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Operario Ltda 0-1 Novorizontino
Tuesday, March 11 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Novorizontino win with a probability of 41.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Novorizontino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
NovorizontinoDrawCorinthians
41.39% (-1.164 -1.16)30.12% (0.407 0.41)28.49% (0.757 0.76)
Both teams to score 40.43% (-0.611 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.54% (-0.93000000000001 -0.93)66.46% (0.931 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.1% (-0.639 -0.64)84.9% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Novorizontino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (-1.152 -1.15)31.76% (1.151 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (-1.343 -1.34)68.19% (1.342 1.34)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.25% (0.103 0.1)40.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.67% (0.092000000000002 0.09)77.33% (-0.092000000000013 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Novorizontino 41.38%
    Corinthians 28.5%
    Draw 30.11%
NovorizontinoDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.38%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 12.94% (0.44 0.44)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.11%
0-1 @ 11.62% (0.43 0.43)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.205 0.21)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 28.5%

rhs 2.0


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