CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Nov 18, 2024 at 9pm UK

Estadio Estadio Jose F. Pepe Raymundi

Aruba
0 - 1
Sint Maarten

Baly (39'), Lewis (74'), Anthony Kruydenhof (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Illidge (90+1')
Pata (67')
Pata (74')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Aruba and Sint Maarten.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Puerto Rico 5-1 Aruba
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cayman Islands	0	0	0
2	US Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Aruba	0	0	0

Sint Maarten

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Sint Maarten 0-8 Haiti
Friday, November 15 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aruba win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aruba win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Aruba	Draw	Sint Maarten
52.55% ( 0.35)	21.42% ( -0.09)	26.02% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 65.18% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.42% (

0.23)

33.58% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.61% (

0.26)

55.39% (

-0.26)

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.93% (

0.19)

13.07% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.34% (

0.38)

39.65% (

-0.38)

Sint Maarten Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98% (

-0.05)

25.02% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31% (

-0.07)

59.69% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Aruba 52.55%

Sint Maarten 26.02%

Draw 21.42%

Aruba	Draw	Sint Maarten
2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 52.55%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.42%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.02%