Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
FC Koln

Kruse (48' pen.), Trimmel (67')
Musa (32'), Andrich (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Duda (45+2' pen.)
Horn (11'), Ozcan (81'), Skhiri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
46.9%	25.46%	27.64%

Both teams to score 52.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.3%

50.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4%

72.6%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.38%

21.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.27%

54.73%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18%

32.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62%

69.38%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 46.9%

FC Koln 27.64%

Draw 25.45%

Union Berlin	Draw	FC Koln
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.9%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.64%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln

Union Berlin

88.9%

Draw

11.1%

FC Koln

0.0%