Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Jan 9, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
5 - 0
FC Koln

Demirovic (18'), Hofler (39'), Sallai (59'), Lienhart (69'), Holer (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	FC Koln
43.52%	24.6%	31.88%

Both teams to score 57.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.14%

44.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79%

67.22%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3%

20.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69%

53.31%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12%

26.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81%

62.19%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 43.52%

FC Koln 31.88%

Draw 24.59%

Freiburg	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.07% 1-0 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.52%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.88%

How you voted: Freiburg vs FC Koln

Freiburg

67.7%

Draw

20.0%

FC Koln

12.3%